II. Efficacy: PSA
- USPSTF Strength of Recommendation: D
-
Test Sensitivity
- Overall: 79-82% (72% for a PSA >4 ng/ml)
- Cancers >1 cm: 90%
- More sensitive than Digital Rectal Exam (30% for 1 cm tumor)
- Much more sensitive than Acid Phosphatase
-
Test Specificity
- Overall: 59% (93% for a PSA >4 ng/ml)
- Positive Predictive Value: 25% (for PSA>4 ng/ml)
- False Positive Rate: 70% (for PSA >4 ng/ml)
- Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia often increases PSA
- Outcomes uncertain despite effective screening
- Screening does not decrease overall or Prostate Cancer specific mortality
- Detection may not impact morbidity
- May actually increase morbidity due to Prostate Cancer treatment complications
- Absolute Risk Reduction: 1.28 deaths per 1,000 men screened for Prostate Cancer
- To prevent one death from Prostate Cancer
- References
- Additional tests that improve PSA efficacy
- See Elevated PSA management below (includes MRI, biomarkers)
- Free PSA to Total PSA ratio
- Normal range varies by age, but ratio <25% is higher risk
- Rate of PSA change
- Consider referral for higher rate of change, even if <4 ng/ml
III. Causes: Elevated PSA
- Prostate Cancer
- Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia (BPH)
- Prostatitis
- Prostate inflammation, Trauma, or manipulation
- Prostatic infarction
- Recent sexual activity
- Urologic procedures
IV. Screening: Recommendations
- Most organizations can not recommend for or against screening based on lack of evidence
- See Efficacy above
- US Preventive Task Force
- American College of Physicians
- American Society of Internal Medicine
- National Cancer Institute
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
- American Academy of Family Physicians
- American College of Preventive Medicine
- Organizations that advocate Shared Decision Making for men ages 55 to 69 years old, but not routine screening
- American Cancer Society
- American Urological Association
- National Comprehensive Cancer Network
- Testing
- Digital Rectal Exam (optional, see Prostate Cancer for efficacy)
- Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA)
- Timing (if screening is performed)
- Start screening (some recommend every other year)
- Normal risk: Starting at age 50 years old (ACP, ACS) or age 55 (AUA)
- High Risk: Starting at age 40 years old (AUA) or 45 years old (ACS)
- See Prostate Cancer for risks factors
- Black Male
- Young first degree relative (<age 65 years old) with Prostate Cancer
- Known Genetic Syndromes (e.g. BRCA1, BRCA2, Lynch Syndrome)
- Stop screening
- Stop screening by age 70 years old OR
- Less than 10 to 15 years Life Expectancy (ACS/AUA)
- See Charlson Comorbidity Index (CALE)
- Frequency of testing
- Every 2 to 4 years is the interval recommended by most organizations
- Annual screening increases False Positive risk without mortality benefit
- ACS recommends every 2 years for PSA <2.5 ng/ml, and every year for PSA >=2.5 ng/ml
- High risk patients (e.g. BRCA2) may be considered for annual screening
- Screening every 4 years may be as effective as annual
- Every 2 to 4 years is the interval recommended by most organizations
- References
- Start screening (some recommend every other year)
V. Documentation: Informed Consent Discussion with Patient
-
Prostate Cancer is common
- Second most common cancer in U.S. men (Lung Cancer is first)
- Over 299,000 new cases of Prostate Cancer each year in the United States (as of 2024)
- Lifetime risk of Prostate Cancer is 17% (higher risk if Black or positive Family History)
- Most Prostate Cancer occurs in men over age 65 (60%)
- Blood Test improves detection of Prostate Cancer
- PSA is twice as effective as Digital Rectal Exam
- PSA blood test is far from perfect
- Most PSA level increases are not due to Prostate Cancer
- As high as 70% of men with an abnormal PSA do not have Prostate Cancer
- PSA misses as many as 15-20% of Prostate Cancers (PSA <4)
- Most PSA level increases are not due to Prostate Cancer
- Early detection, however may not save more lives
- Only 3% of men die from Prostate Cancer
- Most Prostate Cancers do not affect men who have them
- Prostate Cancer most often affects those over age 75 years old (70% of Prostate Cancer deaths)
- Increased PSA level triggers invasive evaluation
- Urology Consultation
- Transrectal Ultrasound with Prostate biopsies
- Most Prostate Cancer is treated surgically
- Prevents death in only 10% men with Prostate Cancer
- Prostate removal has high morbidity and a risk of mortality
- Death: 2%
- Erectile Dysfunction: 25%
- Urethral Stricture: 18%
- Incontinence: 6%
VI. Interpretation: Age specific Normal PSA values
- Age 40 to 49 years
- White: PSA <= 2.5
- Black: PSA < 2.0
- Asian: PSA < 2.0
- Age: 50 to 59 years
- White: PSA <= 3.5
- Black: PSA < 4.0
- Asian: PSA < 3.0
- Age 60 to 69 years
- White: PSA <= 4.5
- Black: PSA < 4.5
- Asian: PSA < 4.0
- Age 70 to 79 years
- White: PSA <= 6.5
- Black: PSA <5.5
- Asian: PSA <5.0
VII. Interpretation: Algorithym to evaluate PSA results
- PSA < 2 ng/ml
- Repeat PSA in 2 years
- Chance that PSA > 5 ng/ml in 2 years is <4%
- PSA 2.6 to 4.0 ng/ml
- Unclear guidelines as to approach this range of PSAs
- False Positive Rate would be 80% if PSA threshold were 2.5 ng/ml
- False Negative Rate 15% (of which 15% are high grade Prostate Cancers)
- Some groups have suggested referral in this range for ages 40 to 50 years (esp. black men)
- PSA 4.0 to 5.0 ng/ml
- Prostate Cancer "Curable" Range
- Test Sensitivity: 72%
- Test Specificity: 93%
- Positive Predictive Value: 25%
- False Positive Rate: 70%
- PSA >5.0 ng/ml
- Lower likelihood of Prostate Cancer "Cure"
VIII. Interpretation: PSA values predict Prostate size
-
Prostate size predicts BPH response to certain therapy
- 5a-Reductase Inhibitors (e.g. Finasteride) work best if Prostate >40 ml in volume
- PSA values suggesting Prostate >40 ml volume (Test Sensitivity and Specificity >70%)
- Age 50-59: PSA >1.6 ng/ml
- Age 60-69: PSA >2.0 ng/ml
- Age 70-79: PSA >2.3 ng/ml
- Roehrborn (1999) Urology 53(3):581-9 [PubMed]
IX. Prognosis: Prognostic Predictive Value of PSA
- PSA with associated Prostatectomy findings
- PSA <= 4.0 ng/ml
- Organ limited Prostate Cancer in 64%
- PSA 4.0-10.0 ng/ml
- Organ limited Prostate Cancer in 50%
- PSA 10.0 to 20.0 ng/ml
- Organ limited Prostate Cancer in 35%
- PSA >100 ng/ml
- Predicts bone metastases in 74% of cases
- PSA <= 4.0 ng/ml
- PSA in combination with Rectal Exam and biopsy
- PSA < 10 ng/ml (Non-palpable, Low Gleason grade)
- Organ limited disease in 60%
- PSA >20 ng/ml (Palpable, Gleason poor-moderate differentiated)
- Organ limited disease in 10%
- PSA < 10 ng/ml (Non-palpable, Low Gleason grade)
X. Management: Increased PSA
- Recheck elevated PSA (>4 ng/ml) in 3 months
- Transient PSA increase (e.g. due to BPH, Prostatitis) will normalize on recheck in 25 to 40% of patients
- Antibiotics are not recommended for elevated PSA unless symptomatic Prostatitis is present
- Additional Testing to consider on consistently elevated PSA (to further risk stratify to those who need biopsy)
- Multiparametric MRI (see Prostate Cancer)
- PSA Kinetics
- Biomarkers
- Blood Biomarkers (e.g. 4Kscore, isoPSA, Proclarix)
- Urine Biomarkers (e.g. PCA3, MPS, SelectMDx)
- Farha (2022) Ther Adv Urol 14:17562872221103988 +PMID: 35719272 [PubMed]
- MyProstateScore (MPS)
- Consider in patients referred for Prostate biopsy
- Estimates risk of Prostate Cancer using 2 urinary biomarkers
- Prostate CancerAntigen 3 (PCA3)
- TMPRSS2:ERG Gene Fusion
- Cost of $760 is not covered by Medicare or medicaid
- However private insurance may cover
- References
- Balloga (2022) Am Fam Physician 105(5): 542-3
-
Prostate Biopsy indications
- PSA >4 ng/ml or
- PSA 2.5 to 4.0 ng/ml and Prostate Cancer Risk Factor or
- Free PSA <8% of total PSA or
- Rapid PSA increase in one year
- Baseline PSA <4 ng/ml and PSA increase by more than 0.35 ng/ml in last year or
- Baseline PSA 4-10 ng/ml and PSA increase by more than 0.75 ng/ml in last year
XI. References
- Brawer (1995) CA Cancer J Clin 45(3):148-64 [PubMed]
- Gann (1995) JAMA 273(4):289-94 [PubMed]
- Lefevre (1998) Am Fam Physician 58(2): 432-8 [PubMed]
- Luttge (1996) Postgrad Med 100(3): 90-102 [PubMed]
- Mistry (2003) J Am Board Fam Pract 16(2): 95-101 [PubMed]
- Mohan (2011) Am Fam Physician 84(4): 413-20 [PubMed]
- Mulhem (2015) Am Fam Physician 92(8): 683-8 [PubMed]
- Roehrborn (1999) Urology 53(3):473-80 [PubMed]
- Roehrborn (1999) Urology 53(3):581-9 [PubMed]
- Slawin (1995) CA Cancer J Clin 45(3):134-47 [PubMed]
- Thompson (2004) N Engl J Med 350:2239-46 [PubMed]
- Vashi (1997) Mayo Clin Proc 72:337-44 [PubMed]
- Wilbur (2008) Am Fam Physician 78(12): 1377-4 [PubMed]
- Xu (2024) Am Fam Physician 110(5): 493-9 [PubMed]